Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Oil Long Trade Meets Objective (Step by Step)




















































Oil today has broken out of it's balance that has been forming the last few sessions on decent volume. Today's highs tested a well established trend-line and was respected. The Blue dotted falling channel is well established also. There are 2 scenarios that can unfold here....1) Being oil rallies up, and tests the top resistence of the channel, and consolidations right underneigh it before breaking out. Which would form a slanted inverted head and shoulders pattern I.E. the consolidation period would = right shoulder and thats what I will be bidding into. Or scenario 2) It touches the top of the channel and falls hard back down to the lower support channel into the Island Reversal bottom which I will defend long....IMO longs want to see a test of the Island Bottom Reversal which lines up exaclty with the bottom support of the channel. 

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